1 | % load data created by the MpdfDS_example |
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2 | load pdfds_results |
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3 | |
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4 | DS.class = 'MemDS'; |
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5 | DS.Data = Data; |
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6 | DS.drv = drv; |
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7 | |
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8 | %%%%%% ARX estimator conditioned on frg |
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9 | |
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10 | A1.class = 'ARXfrg'; |
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11 | A1.rv = y; |
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12 | A1.rgr = RVtimes([y,u],[-3,-1]) ; |
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13 | A1.options ='logbounds,logll'; |
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14 | A1.frg = 0.9; |
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15 | A1.name = 'A1'; |
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16 | |
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17 | %%%%%% Random walk on frg - Dirichlet |
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18 | phi_pdf.class = 'mDirich'; % random walk on coefficient phi |
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19 | phi_pdf.rv = RV({'phi','1_phi'}); % 2D random walk - frg is the first element |
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20 | phi_pdf.k = 0.01; % width of the random walk |
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21 | phi_pdf.betac = [0.01 0.01]; % stabilizing elememnt of random walk |
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22 | |
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23 | %%%%%% Combining estimators in Marginalized particle filter |
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24 | E.class = 'MPF'; |
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25 | E.BM = A1; % ARX is the analytical part |
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26 | E.parameter_pdf = phi_pdf; % Random walk is the parameter evolution model |
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27 | E.res_threshold = 1.0; % resampling parameter |
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28 | E.n = 10; % number of particles |
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29 | E.prior.class = 'eDirich'; % prior on non-linear part |
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30 | E.prior.beta = [2 1]; % |
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31 | E.options ='logbounds,logll'; |
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32 | E.name = 'MPF'; |
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33 | |
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34 | M=estimator(DS,{E}); |
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35 | |
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36 | %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% |
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37 | % plot results |
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38 | ndat = size(M.DS_u,1); |
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39 | |
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40 | figure(1); |
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41 | subplot(2,2,1); |
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42 | plotestimates(true_theta, M.MPF_apost_mean_theta, M.MPF_apost_lb_theta, M.MPF_apost_ub_theta); |
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43 | title(' Regression parameters \theta') |
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44 | set(gca,'YLim',[-1.5,1]); |
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45 | |
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46 | subplot(2,2,2); |
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47 | plotestimates(true_R, M.MPF_apost_mean_r,M.MPF_apost_lb_r,M.MPF_apost_ub_r); |
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48 | title('Variance parameters r') |
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49 | |
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50 | subplot(2,2,3); |
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51 | plotestimates(1, M.MPF_apost_mean_phi(:,1),M.MPF_apost_lb_phi(:,1),M.MPF_apost_ub_phi(:,1)); |
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52 | title('Forgetting factor') |
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53 | |
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