#include "kalman.h" namespace bdm { using std::endl; void KalmanFull::bayes ( const vec &yt, const vec &cond ) { bdm_assert_debug ( yt.length() == ( dimy ), "KalmanFull::bayes wrong size of dt, " + num2str(yt.length()) + ", expected size is " + num2str(dimy) ); bdm_assert_debug ( cond.length() == ( dimc ), "KalmanFull::bayes wrong size of cond, " + num2str(cond.length()) + ", expected size is " + num2str(dimc) ); const vec &u = cond; // in this case cond=ut const vec &y = yt; vec& mu = est._mu(); mat &P = est._R(); mat& _Ry = fy._R(); vec& yp = fy._mu(); //Time update mu = A * mu + B * u; P = A * P * A.transpose() + ( mat ) Q; //Data update _Ry = C * P * C.transpose() + ( mat ) R; _K = P * C.transpose() * inv ( _Ry ); P -= _K * C * P; // P = P -KCP; yp = C * mu + D * u; mu += _K * ( y - yp ); if ( evalll ) { ll = fy.evallog ( y ); } }; /////////////////////////////// EKFS EKFfull::EKFfull ( ) : KalmanFull () {}; void EKFfull::set_parameters ( const shared_ptr &pfxu0, const shared_ptr &phxu0, const mat Q0, const mat R0 ) { pfxu = pfxu0; phxu = phxu0; set_dim ( pfxu0->_dimx() ); dimy = phxu0->dimension(); dimc = pfxu0->_dimu(); est.set_parameters ( zeros ( dimension() ), eye ( dimension() ) ); A.set_size ( dimension(), dimension() ); C.set_size ( dimy, dimension() ); //initialize matrices A C, later, these will be only updated! pfxu->dfdx_cond ( est._mu(), zeros ( dimc ), A, true ); B.clear(); phxu->dfdx_cond ( est._mu(), zeros ( dimc ), C, true ); D.clear(); R = R0; Q = Q0; } void EKFfull::bayes ( const vec &yt, const vec &cond ) { bdm_assert_debug ( yt.length() == ( dimy ), "EKFull::bayes wrong size of dt" ); bdm_assert_debug ( cond.length() == ( dimc ), "EKFull::bayes wrong size of dt" ); const vec &u = cond; const vec &y = yt; //lazy to change it vec &mu = est._mu(); mat &P = est._R(); mat& _Ry = fy._R(); vec& yp = fy._mu(); pfxu->dfdx_cond ( mu, zeros ( dimc ), A, true ); phxu->dfdx_cond ( mu, zeros ( dimc ), C, true ); //Time update mu = pfxu->eval ( mu, u );// A*mu + B*u; P = A * P * A.transpose() + ( mat ) Q; //Data update _Ry = C * P * C.transpose() + ( mat ) R; _K = P * C.transpose() * inv ( _Ry ); P -= _K * C * P; // P = P -KCP; yp = phxu->eval ( mu, u ); mu += _K * ( y - yp ); if ( BM::evalll ) { ll = fy.evallog ( y ); } }; void KalmanCh::set_parameters ( const mat &A0, const mat &B0, const mat &C0, const mat &D0, const chmat &Q0, const chmat &R0 ) { ( ( StateSpace* ) this )->set_parameters ( A0, B0, C0, D0, Q0, R0 ); _K = zeros ( dimension(), dimy ); } void KalmanCh::initialize() { preA = zeros ( dimy + dimension() + dimension(), dimy + dimension() ); // preA.clear(); preA.set_submatrix ( 0, 0, R._Ch() ); preA.set_submatrix ( dimy + dimension(), dimy, Q._Ch() ); } void KalmanCh::bayes ( const vec &yt, const vec &cond ) { bdm_assert_debug ( yt.length() == dimy, "yt mismatch" ); bdm_assert_debug ( cond.length() == dimc, "yt mismatch" ); const vec &u = cond; const vec &y = yt; vec pom ( dimy ); chmat &_P = est._R(); vec &_mu = est._mu(); mat _K ( dimension(), dimy ); chmat &_Ry = fy._R(); vec &_yp = fy._mu(); //TODO get rid of Q in qr()! // mat Q; //R and Q are already set in set_parameters() preA.set_submatrix ( dimy, 0, ( _P._Ch() ) *C.T() ); //Fixme can be more efficient if .T() is not used preA.set_submatrix ( dimy, dimy, ( _P._Ch() ) *A.T() ); if ( !qr ( preA, postA ) ) { bdm_warning ( "QR in KalmanCh unstable!" ); } ( _Ry._Ch() ) = postA ( 0, dimy - 1, 0, dimy - 1 ); _K = inv ( A ) * ( postA ( 0, dimy - 1 , dimy, dimy + dimension() - 1 ) ).T(); ( _P._Ch() ) = postA ( dimy, dimy + dimension() - 1, dimy, dimy + dimension() - 1 ); _mu = A * ( _mu ) + B * u; _yp = C * _mu - D * u; backward_substitution ( _Ry._Ch(), ( y - _yp ), pom ); _mu += ( _K ) * pom; /* cout << "P:" <<_P.to_mat() < &ml ) { //get ids of yrv const RV &yrv = ml._rv(); //need to determine u_t - it is all in _rvc that is not in ml._rv() RV rgr0 = ml._rvc().remove_time(); RV urv = rgr0.subt ( yrv ); //We can do only 1d now... :( bdm_assert ( yrv._dsize() == 1, "Only for SISO so far..." ); // create names for RV xrv; //empty RV Crv; //empty int td = ml._rvc().mint(); // assuming strictly proper function!!! for ( int t = -1; t >= td; t-- ) { xrv.add ( yrv.copy_t ( t ) ); Crv.add ( urv.copy_t ( t ) ); } // get mapp th2A.set_connection ( xrv, ml._rvc() ); th2C.set_connection ( Crv, ml._rvc() ); th2D.set_connection ( urv, ml._rvc() ); //set matrix sizes this->A = zeros ( xrv._dsize(), xrv._dsize() ); for ( int j = 1; j < xrv._dsize(); j++ ) { A ( j, j - 1 ) = 1.0; // off diagonal } this->B = zeros ( xrv._dsize(), 1 ); this->B ( 0 ) = 1.0; this->C = zeros ( 1, xrv._dsize() ); this->D = zeros ( 1, urv._dsize() ); this->Q = zeros ( xrv._dsize(), xrv._dsize() ); // R is set by update //set cache this->A1row = zeros ( xrv._dsize() ); this->C1row = zeros ( xrv._dsize() ); this->D1row = zeros ( urv._dsize() ); update_from ( ml ); validate(); }; void StateCanonical::update_from ( const mlnorm &ml ) { vec theta = ml._A().get_row ( 0 ); // this th2A.filldown ( theta, A1row ); th2C.filldown ( theta, C1row ); th2D.filldown ( theta, D1row ); R = ml._R(); A.set_row ( 0, A1row ); C.set_row ( 0, C1row + D1row ( 0 ) *A1row ); D.set_row ( 0, D1row ); } void StateFromARX::connect_mlnorm ( const mlnorm &ml, RV &xrv, RV &urv ) { //get ids of yrv const RV &yrv = ml._rv(); //need to determine u_t - it is all in _rvc that is not in ml._rv() const RV &rgr = ml._rvc(); RV rgr0 = rgr.remove_time(); urv = rgr0.subt ( yrv ); // create names for state variables xrv = yrv; int y_multiplicity = -rgr.mint ( yrv ); int y_block_size = yrv.length() * ( y_multiplicity ); // current yt + all delayed yts for ( int m = 0; m < y_multiplicity - 1; m++ ) { // ========= -1 is important see arx2statespace_notes xrv.add ( yrv.copy_t ( -m - 1 ) ); //add delayed yt } //! temporary RV for connection to ml.rvc, since notation of xrv and ml.rvc does not match RV xrv_ml = xrv.copy_t ( -1 ); // add regressors ivec u_block_sizes ( urv.length() ); // no_blocks = yt + unique rgr for ( int r = 0; r < urv.length(); r++ ) { RV R = urv.subselect ( vec_1 ( r ) ); //non-delayed element of rgr int r_size = urv.size ( r ); int r_multiplicity = -rgr.mint ( R ); u_block_sizes ( r ) = r_size * r_multiplicity ; for ( int m = 0; m < r_multiplicity; m++ ) { xrv.add ( R.copy_t ( -m - 1 ) ); //add delayed yt xrv_ml.add ( R.copy_t ( -m - 1 ) ); //add delayed yt } } // add constant if ( any ( ml._mu_const() != 0.0 ) ) { have_constant = true; xrv.add ( RV ( "bdm_reserved_constant_one", 1 ) ); } else { have_constant = false; } // get mapp th2A.set_connection ( xrv_ml, ml._rvc() ); th2B.set_connection ( urv, ml._rvc() ); //set matrix sizes this->A = zeros ( xrv._dsize(), xrv._dsize() ); //create y block diagonal_part ( this->A, yrv._dsize(), 0, y_block_size - yrv._dsize() ); this->B = zeros ( xrv._dsize(), urv._dsize() ); //add diagonals for rgr int active_x = y_block_size; int active_Bcol = 0; for ( int r = 0; r < urv.length(); r++ ) { if (u_block_sizes(r)>0) { diagonal_part ( this->A, active_x + urv.size ( r ), active_x, u_block_sizes ( r ) - urv.size ( r ) ); this->B.set_submatrix ( active_x, active_Bcol, eye ( urv.size ( r ) ) ); active_Bcol+=u_block_sizes(r); } active_x += u_block_sizes ( r ); } this->C = zeros ( yrv._dsize(), xrv._dsize() ); this->C.set_submatrix ( 0, 0, eye ( yrv._dsize() ) ); this->D = zeros ( yrv._dsize(), urv._dsize() ); this->R.setCh ( zeros ( yrv._dsize(), yrv._dsize() ) ); this->Q.setCh ( zeros ( xrv._dsize(), xrv._dsize() ) ); // Q is set by update update_from ( ml ); validate(); } void StateFromARX::update_from ( const mlnorm &ml ) { vec Arow = zeros ( A.cols() ); vec Brow = zeros ( B.cols() ); // ROW- WISE EVALUATION ===== for ( int i = 0; i < ml._rv()._dsize(); i++ ) { vec theta = ml._A().get_row ( i ); th2A.filldown ( theta, Arow ); if ( have_constant ) { // constant is always at the end no need for datalink Arow ( A.cols() - 1 ) = ml._mu_const() ( i ); } this->A.set_row ( i, Arow ); th2B.filldown ( theta, Brow ); this->B.set_row ( i, Brow ); } this->Q._Ch().set_submatrix ( 0, 0, ml.__R()._Ch() ); } void EKFCh::set_parameters ( const shared_ptr &pfxu0, const shared_ptr &phxu0, const chmat Q0, const chmat R0 ) { pfxu = pfxu0; phxu = phxu0; set_dim ( pfxu0->_dimx() ); dimy = phxu0->dimension(); dimc = pfxu0->_dimu(); vec &_mu = est._mu(); // if mu is not set, set it to zeros, just for constant terms of A and C if ( _mu.length() != dimension() ) _mu = zeros ( dimension() ); A = zeros ( dimension(), dimension() ); C = zeros ( dimy, dimension() ); preA = zeros ( dimy + dimension() + dimension(), dimy + dimension() ); //initialize matrices A C, later, these will be only updated! pfxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, zeros ( dimc ), A, true ); // pfxu->dfdu_cond ( *_mu,zeros ( dimu ),B,true ); B.clear(); phxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, zeros ( dimc ), C, true ); // phxu->dfdu_cond ( *_mu,zeros ( dimu ),D,true ); D.clear(); R = R0; Q = Q0; // Cholesky special! preA.clear(); preA.set_submatrix ( 0, 0, R._Ch() ); preA.set_submatrix ( dimy + dimension(), dimy, Q._Ch() ); } void EKFCh::bayes ( const vec &yt, const vec &cond ) { vec pom ( dimy ); const vec &u = cond; const vec &y = yt; vec &_mu = est._mu(); chmat &_P = est._R(); chmat &_Ry = fy._R(); vec &_yp = fy._mu(); pfxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, u, A, false ); //update A by a derivative of fx phxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, u, C, false ); //update A by a derivative of fx //R and Q are already set in set_parameters() preA.set_submatrix ( dimy, 0, ( _P._Ch() ) *C.T() ); //Fixme can be more efficient if .T() is not used preA.set_submatrix ( dimy, dimy, ( _P._Ch() ) *A.T() ); // mat Sttm = _P->to_mat(); // cout << preA <to_mat()); // mat Stt = Sttm - Sttm * C.T() * iRY * C * Sttm; // mat _K2 = Stt*C.T()*inv(R.to_mat()); // prediction _mu = pfxu->eval ( _mu , u ); _yp = phxu->eval ( _mu, u ); /* vec mu2 = *_mu + ( _K2 ) * ( y-*_yp );*/ //correction //= initial value is already prediction! backward_substitution ( _Ry._Ch(), ( y - _yp ), pom ); _mu += ( _K ) * pom ; /* _K = (_P->to_mat())*C.transpose() * ( _iRy->to_mat() ); *_mu = pfxu->eval ( *_mu ,u ) + ( _K )* ( y-*_yp );*/ // cout << "P:" <<_P.to_mat() < IM = UI::build ( set, "IM", UI::compulsory ); shared_ptr OM = UI::build ( set, "OM", UI::compulsory ); //statistics int dim = IM->dimension(); vec mu0; if ( !UI::get ( mu0, set, "mu0" ) ) mu0 = zeros ( dim ); mat P0; vec dP0; if ( UI::get ( dP0, set, "dP0" ) ) P0 = diag ( dP0 ); else if ( !UI::get ( P0, set, "P0" ) ) P0 = eye ( dim ); set_statistics ( mu0, P0 ); //parameters vec dQ, dR; UI::get ( dQ, set, "dQ", UI::compulsory ); UI::get ( dR, set, "dR", UI::compulsory ); set_parameters ( IM, OM, diag ( dQ ), diag ( dR ) ); } void MultiModel::from_setting ( const Setting &set ) { Array A; UI::get ( A, set, "models", UI::compulsory ); set_parameters ( A ); set_yrv ( A ( 0 )->_yrv() ); //set_rv(A(0)->_rv()); } void EKF_UD::set_parameters ( const shared_ptr &pfxu0, const shared_ptr &phxu0, const mat Q0, const vec R0 ) { pfxu = pfxu0; phxu = phxu0; set_dim ( pfxu0->_dimx() ); dimy = phxu0->dimension(); dimc = pfxu0->_dimu(); vec &_mu = est._mu(); // if mu is not set, set it to zeros, just for constant terms of A and C if ( _mu.length() != dimension() ) _mu = zeros ( dimension() ); A = zeros ( dimension(), dimension() ); C = zeros ( dimy, dimension() ); //initialize matrices A C, later, these will be only updated! pfxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, zeros ( dimc ), A, true ); // pfxu->dfdu_cond ( *_mu,zeros ( dimu ),B,true ); phxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, zeros ( dimc ), C, true ); // phxu->dfdu_cond ( *_mu,zeros ( dimu ),D,true ); R = R0; Q = Q0; // } void EKF_UD::bayes ( const vec &yt, const vec &cond ) { //preparatory vec &_mu=est._mu(); const vec &u=cond; int dim = dimension(); U = est._R()._L().T(); D = est._R()._D(); //////////// pfxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, u, A, false ); //update A by a derivative of fx phxu->dfdx_cond ( _mu, u, C, false ); //update A by a derivative of fx mat PhiU = A*U; vec Din = D; int i,j,k; double sigma; mat G = eye(dim); //////// thorton //move mean; _mu = pfxu->eval(_mu,u); for (i=dim-1; i>=0;i--){ sigma = 0.0; for (j=0; jeval(_mu,u); for (int iy=0; iy IM = UI::build ( set, "IM", UI::compulsory ); shared_ptr OM = UI::build ( set, "OM", UI::compulsory ); //statistics int dim = IM->dimension(); vec mu0; if ( !UI::get ( mu0, set, "mu0" ) ) mu0 = zeros ( dim ); mat P0; vec dP0; if ( UI::get ( dP0, set, "dP0" ) ) P0 = diag ( dP0 ); else if ( !UI::get ( P0, set, "P0" ) ) P0 = eye ( dim ); est._mu()=mu0; est._R()=ldmat(P0); //parameters vec dQ, dR; UI::get ( dQ, set, "dQ", UI::compulsory ); UI::get ( dR, set, "dR", UI::compulsory ); set_parameters ( IM, OM, diag ( dQ ), dR ); UI::get(log_level, set, "log_level", UI::optional); } }