| 1 | #include "estim/arx.h" |
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| 2 | #include <vector> |
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| 3 | #include <iostream> |
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| 4 | #include <fstream> |
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| 5 | using namespace bdm; |
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| 6 | |
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| 7 | // estimation of AR(0) model |
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| 8 | int main(){ |
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| 9 | //data |
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| 10 | vector<vector<vector<string>>> string_lists; |
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| 11 | string_lists.push_back(vector<vector<string>>()); |
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| 12 | string_lists.push_back(vector<vector<string>>()); |
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| 13 | string_lists.push_back(vector<vector<string>>()); |
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| 14 | |
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| 15 | char* file_strings[3] = {"c:\\ar_normal.txt", "c:\\ar_student.txt", "c:\\ar_cauchy.txt"}; |
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| 16 | |
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| 17 | |
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| 18 | for(int i = 0;i<3;i++) |
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| 19 | { |
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| 20 | ifstream myfile(file_strings[i]); |
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| 21 | if (myfile.is_open()) |
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| 22 | { |
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| 23 | while ( myfile.good() ) |
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| 24 | { |
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| 25 | string line; |
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| 26 | getline(myfile,line); |
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| 27 | |
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| 28 | vector<string> parsed_line; |
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| 29 | while(line.find(',') != string::npos) |
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| 30 | { |
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| 31 | int loc = line.find(','); |
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| 32 | parsed_line.push_back(line.substr(0,loc)); |
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| 33 | line.erase(0,loc+1); |
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| 34 | } |
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| 35 | |
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| 36 | string_lists[i].push_back(parsed_line); |
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| 37 | } |
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| 38 | myfile.close(); |
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| 39 | } |
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| 40 | } |
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| 41 | |
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| 42 | //prior |
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| 43 | mat V0 = 0.0001 * eye ( 3 ); |
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| 44 | //V0 ( 0, 0 ) = 0.1; // |
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| 45 | |
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| 46 | for(int j = 0;j<string_lists.size();j++) |
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| 47 | { |
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| 48 | |
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| 49 | for(int i = 0;i<string_lists[j].size();i++) |
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| 50 | { |
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| 51 | ARX Ar; |
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| 52 | Ar.set_statistics ( 1, V0 ); //nu is default (set to have finite moments) |
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| 53 | Ar.set_constant ( false ); |
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| 54 | Ar.validate(); |
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| 55 | // forgetting is default: 1.0 |
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| 56 | |
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| 57 | vector<vec> conditions; |
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| 58 | for(int k = 1;k<string_lists[j][i].size();k++) |
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| 59 | { |
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| 60 | vec condition; |
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| 61 | condition.ins(0,string_lists[j][i][k]); |
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| 62 | conditions.push_back(condition); |
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| 63 | |
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| 64 | if(conditions.size()>1) |
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| 65 | { |
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| 66 | conditions[k-2].ins(0,string_lists[j][i][k]); |
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| 67 | |
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| 68 | } |
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| 69 | |
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| 70 | if(conditions.size()>2) |
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| 71 | { |
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| 72 | conditions[k-3].ins(0,string_lists[j][i][k]); |
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| 73 | |
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| 74 | //cout << conditions[k-3] << endl;// << conditions[k-3].left(1) << conditions[k-3].right(2); |
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| 75 | |
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| 76 | Ar.bayes(conditions[k-3].left(1),conditions[k-3].right(2)); |
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| 77 | } |
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| 78 | } |
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| 79 | |
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| 80 | ofstream myfile; |
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| 81 | myfile.open("c:\\classic_ar1.txt",ios::app); |
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| 82 | myfile << Ar.posterior().mean()[0] << ";"; |
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| 83 | myfile.close(); |
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| 84 | |
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| 85 | myfile.open("c:\\classic_ar2.txt",ios::app); |
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| 86 | myfile << Ar.posterior().mean()[1] << ";"; |
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| 87 | myfile.close(); |
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| 88 | |
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| 89 | |
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| 90 | |
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| 91 | } |
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| 92 | |
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| 93 | ofstream myfile; |
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| 94 | myfile.open("c:\\classic_ar1.txt",ios::app); |
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| 95 | myfile << endl; |
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| 96 | myfile.close(); |
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| 97 | |
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| 98 | myfile.open("c:\\classic_ar2.txt",ios::app); |
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| 99 | myfile << endl; |
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| 100 | myfile.close(); |
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| 101 | } |
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| 102 | } |
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