1 | #include <estim/arx.h> |
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2 | #include <estim/merger.h> |
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3 | #include <stat/libEF.h> |
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4 | #include <stat/loggers.h> |
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5 | //#include <stat/merger.h> |
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6 | using namespace bdm; |
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7 | |
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8 | //These lines are needed for use of cout and endl |
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9 | using std::cout; |
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10 | using std::endl; |
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11 | |
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12 | /*! The purpose of this experiment is to test merging fragmental pdfs between two participants sharing the same parameter, a. However, this parameter has a different role in each model. |
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13 | |
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14 | Lets assume that: |
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15 | u -> |a,r| -> y -> |a,r| -> z |
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16 | */ |
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17 | |
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18 | int main() { |
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19 | // Setup model |
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20 | RV y ( "{y }" ); |
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21 | RV u ( "{u }" ); |
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22 | RV z ( "{z }" ); |
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23 | RV a ("{a }"); |
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24 | RV b ("{b }"); RV ab = a; ab.add(b); |
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25 | RV c ("{c }"); RV ac = a; ac.add(c); |
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26 | RV r ("{r }"); |
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27 | |
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28 | double at = 1.5; |
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29 | double bt = 0.5; |
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30 | double ct = -0.5; |
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31 | double rt = 0.30; |
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32 | // Full system |
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33 | vec thy =vec_2 ( at,bt ); //Simulated system - zero for constant term |
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34 | vec thz =vec_2 ( at,ct ); //Simulated system - zero for constant term |
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35 | vec Thy = concat ( thy, vec_1(rt) ); //Full parameter |
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36 | vec Thz = concat ( thz, vec_1(rt) ); //Full parameter |
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37 | |
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38 | //ARX constructor |
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39 | mat V0 = 0.001*eye ( 3 ); V0 ( 0,0 ) = 1; // |
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40 | |
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41 | ARX P1; |
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42 | P1.set_statistics(2, V0, -1 ); |
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43 | ARX P2; |
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44 | P2.set_statistics(2, V0, -1 ); |
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45 | |
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46 | //Test estimation |
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47 | int ndat = 100; |
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48 | int t; |
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49 | |
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50 | // Logging |
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51 | dirfilelog L ( "exp/merg_2a",3 ); |
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52 | int Li_Data = L.add ( RV ( "{U Y Z }" ), "" ); |
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53 | // int Li_LL = L.add ( RV ( "{P1 P2 M1 M2 }" ), "LL" ); |
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54 | int Li_P1m = L.add ( concat ( ab,r ), "P1m" ); |
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55 | int Li_P2m = L.add ( concat ( ac,r ), "P2m" ); |
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56 | int Li_Mm = L.add ( concat ( ab,concat(r,c) ), "Mm" ); |
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57 | int Li_Th = L.add ( concat ( ab,concat(c,r) ), "T" ); |
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58 | L.init(); |
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59 | |
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60 | vec Ut ( ndat ); |
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61 | vec Yt ( ndat ); |
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62 | vec Zt ( ndat ); |
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63 | vec yt ( 1 ); |
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64 | |
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65 | //Proposal |
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66 | enorm<ldmat> g0; |
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67 | g0.set_parameters ( "1 1 ",mat ( "1 0; 0 1" ) ); |
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68 | egamma g1; |
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69 | g1.set_parameters ( "2 ", "2" ); |
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70 | enorm<ldmat> g2; |
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71 | g2.set_parameters ( "1 ",mat ( "1" ) ); |
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72 | |
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73 | Array<const epdf*> A ( 3 ); A ( 0 ) = &g0; A ( 1 ) =&g1; A(2) = &g2; |
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74 | eprod G0 ( A ); |
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75 | |
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76 | vec rgru(2); |
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77 | vec rgry(2); |
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78 | Yt(0) = 0.1; |
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79 | Ut(0) = 0.0; |
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80 | for ( t=1; t<ndat; t++ ) { |
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81 | // True system |
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82 | Ut ( t ) = pow ( sin ( ( t/40.0 ) *pi ),3 ); |
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83 | rgru(0) = Ut(t); rgru(1) = Ut(t-1); |
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84 | Yt ( t ) = thy*rgru + rt * NorRNG(); |
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85 | rgry(0) = Yt(t); rgry(1) = Yt(t-1); |
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86 | Zt ( t ) = thz*rgry + rt * NorRNG(); |
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87 | |
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88 | // Bayes for all |
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89 | P1.bayes ( concat ( Yt ( t ),rgru ) ); |
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90 | P2.bayes ( concat ( Zt ( t ),rgry ) ); |
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91 | |
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92 | // Merge estimates |
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93 | mepdf eG1 ( P1._e() ); |
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94 | mepdf eG2 ( P2._e() ); |
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95 | Array<mpdf*> A ( 2 ); A ( 0 ) =&eG1;A ( 1 ) =&eG2; |
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96 | merger M ( A ); |
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97 | M.set_parameters ( 10, 100,3 ); //M._Mix().set_method(QB); |
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98 | //M2.set_parameters ( 100.0, 1000,3 ); //M2._Mix().set_method(QB); |
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99 | M.merge ( &G0 ); |
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100 | |
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101 | //Likelihood |
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102 | yt ( 0 ) = Yt ( t ); |
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103 | |
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104 | //Logger |
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105 | L.logit(Li_Data, vec_3(Ut(t), Yt(t), Zt(t))); |
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106 | L.logit(Li_P1m, P1._e()->mean()); |
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107 | L.logit(Li_P2m, P2._e()->mean()); |
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108 | L.logit(Li_Mm, M.mean()); |
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109 | L.logit(Li_Th, concat(thy,vec_2(ct,rt))); |
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110 | L.step ( ); |
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111 | |
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112 | } |
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113 | L.finalize( ); |
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114 | L.itsave ( "merg_2a.it" ); |
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115 | cout << endl; |
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116 | } |
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