1 | #include <estim/arx.h> |
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2 | #include <estim/merger.h> |
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3 | #include <stat/libEF.h> |
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4 | #include <stat/loggers.h> |
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5 | //#include <stat/merger.h> |
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6 | using namespace itpp; |
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7 | |
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8 | //These lines are needed for use of cout and endl |
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9 | using std::cout; |
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10 | using std::endl; |
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11 | |
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12 | int main() { |
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13 | // Setup model |
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14 | RV y ( "{y }" ); |
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15 | RV u1 ( "{u1 }" ); |
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16 | RV u2 ( "{u2 }" ); |
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17 | RV uu=u1; uu.add ( u2 ); |
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18 | |
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19 | // Full system |
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20 | vec thg ( "1 1" ); //Simulated system - zero for constant term |
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21 | double sqr=1.0; |
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22 | vec Th = concat ( thg, sqr ); //Full parameter |
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23 | |
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24 | // Estimated systems ARX(2) |
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25 | RV a1 ( "{a1 }" ); |
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26 | RV a2 ( "{a2 }" ); |
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27 | RV r ( "{r }" ); |
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28 | RV all =a1; all.add ( a2 ); all.add ( r ); |
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29 | RV allj =a1; allj.add ( r ); allj.add ( a2 ); |
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30 | vec Thj("1 1 1"); |
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31 | // Setup values |
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32 | |
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33 | //ARX constructor |
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34 | mat V0 = 0.001*eye ( 2 ); V0 ( 0,0 ) = 1; // |
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35 | mat V0g = 0.001*eye ( 3 ); V0g ( 0,0 ) = 1; // |
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36 | |
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37 | ARX P1 ( concat ( a1,r ), V0, -1 ); |
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38 | ARX P2 ( concat ( a2,r ), V0, -1 ); |
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39 | ARX PG ( all, V0g, -1 ); |
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40 | |
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41 | //Test estimation |
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42 | int ndat = 100; |
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43 | int t; |
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44 | |
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45 | // Logging |
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46 | dirfilelog L ( "exp/merg_giw",1 ); |
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47 | int Li_Data = L.add ( RV ( "{Y U1 U2 }" ), "" ); |
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48 | int Li_LL = L.add ( RV ( "{1 2 G M }" ), "LL" ); |
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49 | int Li_Gm = L.add ( RV ( "{a1 a2 r }" ), "G" ); |
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50 | int Li_Mm = L.add ( RV ( "{a1 r a2 }" ), "M" ); |
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51 | L.init(); |
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52 | |
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53 | vec Yt ( ndat ); |
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54 | vec yt ( 1 ); |
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55 | |
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56 | vec LLs ( 4 ); |
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57 | vec rgrg ( 2 ); |
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58 | |
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59 | //Proposal |
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60 | enorm<ldmat> g0 ( a1 ); g0.set_parameters ( "1 ",mat("1") ); |
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61 | egamma g1 ( r ); g1.set_parameters ( "2 ", "2" ); |
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62 | enorm<ldmat> g2 ( a2 ); g2.set_parameters ( "1 ",mat("1") ); |
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63 | |
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64 | Array<const epdf*> A(3); A(0) = &g0; A(1)=&g1; A(2) = &g2; |
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65 | eprod G0(A); |
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66 | |
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67 | for ( t=0; t<ndat; t++ ) { |
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68 | // True system |
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69 | rgrg ( 0 ) = pow ( sin ( ( t/40.0 ) *pi ),3 ); |
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70 | rgrg ( 1 ) = pow ( cos ( ( t/40.0 ) *pi ),3 ); |
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71 | |
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72 | Yt ( t ) = thg*rgrg + sqr * NorRNG(); |
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73 | |
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74 | // Bayes for all |
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75 | P1.bayes ( concat ( Yt ( t ),vec_1(rgrg ( 0 ) )) ); |
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76 | P2.bayes ( concat ( Yt ( t ),vec_1(rgrg ( 1 ) )) ); |
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77 | PG.bayes ( concat ( Yt ( t ),rgrg ) ); |
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78 | |
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79 | // Merge estimates |
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80 | mepdf eG1(P1._e()); |
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81 | mepdf eG2(P2._e()); |
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82 | Array<mpdf*> A ( 2 ); A ( 0 ) =&eG1;A ( 1 ) =&eG2; |
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83 | merger M ( A ); |
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84 | M.set_parameters ( 10.0, 100,2 ); |
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85 | M.merge ( &G0 ); |
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86 | |
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87 | //Likelihood |
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88 | yt ( 0 ) = Yt ( t ); |
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89 | |
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90 | LLs ( 0 ) = P1._e()->evalpdflog ( get_vec(Th, "1 2") ); |
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91 | LLs ( 1 ) = P2._e()->evalpdflog ( get_vec(Th, "3 2") ); |
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92 | LLs ( 2 ) = PG._e()->evalpdflog (Th ); |
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93 | LLs ( 3 ) = M._Mix().logpred ( concat(Thj, vec_1(1.0)) ); |
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94 | L.logit ( Li_LL, LLs ); //log-normal |
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95 | |
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96 | //Logger |
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97 | L.logit ( Li_Data, vec_3 ( Yt ( t ), rgrg ( 0 ), rgrg ( 1 ) ) ); |
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98 | L.logit ( Li_Gm, PG._e()->mean() ); |
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99 | emix *tm =M._Mix().predictor(allj); |
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100 | L.logit ( Li_Mm, tm->mean() ); |
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101 | delete tm; |
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102 | L.step ( ); |
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103 | } |
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104 | L.finalize( ); |
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105 | L.itsave ( "merg_egiw.it" ); |
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106 | } |
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